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scZoUnD
21 day ago
5

An international polling agency estimates that 36 percent of adults from Country X were first married between the ages of 18 and

32, and 26 percent of adults from Country Y were first married between the ages of 18 and 32. Based on the estimates, which of the following is closest to the probability that the difference in proportions between a random sample of 60 adults from Country X and a random sample of 50 adults from Country Y (Country X minus Country Y) who were first married between the ages of 18 and 32 is greater than 0.15?
(A) 0.1398
(B) 0.2843
(C) 0.4315
(D) 0.5685
(E) 0.7157
Mathematics
1 answer:
Leona [9.2K]21 day ago
3 0

Answer:

(B) 0.2843

Step-by-step explanation:

Let d represent the difference in proportions between Country X and Country Y for adults who first married from ages 18 to 32.

The hypotheses can be stated as

H_{0}: d=0.15

H_{a}: d<0.15

The test statistic can be computed with the formula

z=\frac{p1-p2-0.15}{\sqrt{{p*(1-p)*(\frac{1}{n1} +\frac{1}{n2}) }}} where

  • p1 corresponds to the sample proportion from Country X (0.36)
  • p2 corresponds to the sample proportion from Country Y (0.26)
  • p indicates the pooled proportion of p1 and p2 (\frac{60*0.36+50*0.26}{50+60}=0.31)
  • n1 is the sample size from Country X (60)
  • n2 is the sample size from Country Y (50)

Thus, z=\frac{0.36-0.26-0.15}{\sqrt{{0.31*0.69*(\frac{1}{60} +\frac{1}{50}) }}} is approximately 0.5646

The p-value for this test statistic is approximately 0.2843

The p-value indicates the likelihood that the difference in proportions between a random sample of 60 adults from Country X and a sample of 50 adults from Country Y who were first married at ages 18 to 32 is at least 0.15.

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