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LuckyWell
20 days ago
15

A machine is designed to dispense at least 12 ounces of a beverage into a bottle. To test whether the machine is working properl

y, a random sample of 50 bottles was selected and the mean number of ounces for the 50 bottles was computed. A test of the hypotheses H0 : μ = 12 versus HA : μ < 12 was conducted, where μ represents the population mean number of ounces of the beverage dispensed by the machine. The p-value for the test was 0.08. Which of the following is the most appropriate conclusion to draw at the significance level of α = 0.05 ?
a. Because the p-value is greater than the significance level, there is not convincing evidence that the population mean number of ounces dispensed into a bottle is less than 12 ounces.
b. Because the p-value is greater than the significance level, there is convincing evidence that the population mean number of ounces dispensed into a bottle is less than 12 ounces.
c. Because the p-value is greater than the significance level, there is convincing evidence that the population mean number of ounces dispensed into a bottle is 12 ounces.
d. Because the p-value is less than the significance level, there is convincing evidence that the population mean number of ounces dispensed into a bottle is 12 ounces.
Mathematics
1 answer:
zzz [9K]20 days ago
3 0

Answer:

Option c) The population mean amount of ounces dispensed into a bottle is 12 ounces, as indicated by the p-value exceeding the threshold for significance.

Step-by-step explanation:

In the question, we are provided with the following:

Mean of the population, μ = 12 ounces

Sample size, n = 50

Alpha, α = 0.05

Initially, we formulate the null and alternative hypotheses:

H_{0}: \mu = 12\\H_A: \mu < 12

The one-tailed test is utilized for this hypothesis test.

P-value = 0.08

Given that the p-value is beyond the significance level, we do not reject the null hypothesis, thus accepting it.

This implies that the machine operates correctly and dispenses 12 ounces of liquid into each bottle.

Option c) The evidence suggests that the mean quantity dispensed per bottle is indeed 12 ounces since the p-value is over the significance level.

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b1) Component 1: 0.8034

    Component 2: 0.8270

    Component 3: 0.8349

    Component 4: 0.8664

b2) To maximize overall reliability, Component 4 should be backed up.

c) To achieve the highest reliability of 0.8681, backup for Component 4 with a reliability of 0.92 should be implemented.

Step-by-step explanation:

Component Reliabilities:

Component 1 (R1): 0.98

Component 2 (R2): 0.95

Component 3 (R3): 0.94

Component 4 (R4): 0.90

a) The reliability of the robot can be determined by calculating the reliabilities of the individual components that constitute the robot.

Robot Reliability = R1 x R2 x R3 x R4

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Robot Reliability = 0.787626 ≅ 0.7876

b1) As only a single backup can be used at once, and its reliability matches that of the original, we evaluate each component's backup sequentially:

Robot Reliability with Component 1 backup is calculated by first assessing the failure probability of the component plus its backup:

Failure probability = 1 - R1

                      = 1 - 0.98

                      = 0.02

Combined failure probability for Component 1 and backup = 0.02 x 0.02 = 0.0004

Thus, reliability of combined Component 1 and backup (R1B) = 1 - 0.0004 = 0.9996

Robot Reliability = R1B x R2 x R3 x R4

                                         = 0.9996 x 0.95 x 0.94 x 0.90

Robot Reliability = 0.8034

To determine reliability of Component 2:

Failure probability for Component 2 = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05

Combined failure probability of Component 2 and backup = 0.05 x 0.05 = 0.0025

Reliability of Component 2 with backup (R2B) = 1 - 0.0025 = 0.9975

Robot Reliability = R1 x R2B x R3 x R4

                = 0.98 x 0.9975 x 0.94 x 0.90

Robot Reliability = 0.8270

Robot Reliability with backup of Component 3 calculates as follows:

Failure probability for Component 3 = 1 - 0.94 = 0.06

Combined failure probability of Component 3 and backup = 0.06 x 0.06 = 0.0036

Reliability for Component 3 with backup (R3B) = 1 - 0.0036 = 0.9964

Robot Reliability = R1 x R2 x R3B x R4  

                = 0.98 x 0.95 x 0.9964 x 0.90

Robot Reliability = 0.8349

Robot Reliability with Component 4 backup calculates as:

Failure probability for Component 4 = 1 - 0.90 = 0.10

Combined failure probability of Component 4 and backup = 0.10 x 0.10 = 0.01

Reliability for Component 4 and backup (R4B) = 1 - 0.01 = 0.99

Robot Reliability = R1 x R2 x R3 x R4B

                                      = 0.98 x 0.95 x 0.94 x 0.99

Robot Reliability = 0.8664

b2) The best reliability is achieved with the backup of Component 4, yielding a value of 0.8664. Thus, Component 4 is the best candidate for backup to optimize reliability.

c) A reliability of 0.92 indicates a failure probability of = 1 - 0.92 = 0.08

We can compute the probability of failure for each component along with its backup:

Component 1 = 0.02 x 0.08 = 0.0016

Component 2 = 0.05 x 0.08 = 0.0040

Component 3 = 0.06 x 0.08 = 0.0048

Component 4 =  0.10 x 0.08 = 0.0080

Thus, the reliabilities for each component and its backup become:

Component 1 (R1BB) = 1 - 0.0016 = 0.9984

Component 2 (R2BB) = 1 - 0.0040 = 0.9960

Component 3 (R3BB) = 1 - 0.0048 = 0.9952

Component 4 (R4BB) = 1 - 0.0080 = 0.9920

Reliability of robot including backups for each of the components can be calculated as:

Reliability with Backup for Component 1 = R1BB x R2 x R3 x R4

              = 0.9984 x 0.95 x 0.94 x 0.90

Reliability with Backup for Component 1 = 0.8024

Reliability with Backup for Component 2 = R1 x R2BB x R3 x R4

              = 0.98 x 0.9960 x 0.94 x 0.90

Reliability with Backup for Component 2 = 0.8258

Reliability with Backup for Component 3 = R1 x R2 x R3BB x R4

              = 0.98 x 0.95 x 0.9952 x 0.90

Reliability with Backup for Component 3 = 0.8339

Reliability with Backup for Component 4 = R1 x R2 x R3 x R4BB

              = 0.98 x 0.95 x 0.94 x 0.9920

Reliability with Backup for Component 4 = 0.8681

To maximize overall reliability, Component 4 should be backed up at a reliability of 0.92, achieving an overall reliability of 0.8681.

4 0
20 days ago
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